a few years later.. maybe the chance will be MAS:CHN 50:50. if malaysia do well enough in its players developement.
If we actually see INA vs. HKG... then... HKG have to win all 3 singles [and they are very capable of doing that]. The 2 WD should be INA's to take... Aside from INA, HKG, and JPN, how come I have not heard KOR being mentioned here? They are good enough to take 2 WD against most others [except against INA]... and good enough to win at least 1 WS [except against HKG]...
In my opinion, we should see it in a different angle: what are the chances of MAS getting 3 wins out of 5 matches against CHN Uber Cup team in May 2008? I can't really put a number on it, but basically, it is not good... Maybe in 2010 or 2012 there might be some change. But as of now... I think realistically... the chances are not good at all...
Ok, let's assume your % is true to begin with (but I highly doubt, especially the WD portion). Even so, let's take the 3 highest ones to make the calculation to get your overall chance. From stats, you need the 3 wins, which the chance is 40% x 35% x 35% = 5%. Of course, to get to victory, there should be other possible "combos", but the outcome is even smaller. I assume the final outcome is no where near 33% as you claimed. I assume your 33% comes from the average of 5 events, which is not the correct way to calculate the "chance".
With Zhou Mi's current form, I think she's still not fully back to her peak. And next year, she's 1 more year older. Yip has a great future, but beating ZN and/or XXF once a year, still does not give ppl too much hope.
And.. ..if MAS do beat CHN in Uber Cup, would you be suspicious also on what happened? Knowing well the probability of that happening is very2 low almost zero, would you then suggest for an investigation to be done?..
Germany I am sure they have a great chance to go to final, with xu, schenk, grether. Just wonder where is Petra Overzier?
Looks like Chau Hoi Wah from Hong Kong has improved a lot in WD play (the Sudirman Cup victory over Thailand's WD is still fresh in my mind). If she partners with Zhou Mi in one WD and Koon Wai Chee partners with Wang Chen in another WD, HK will have 2 extremely strong, but underated WD Team. I wouldn't be suprised if HK can gain at least 1 points from doubles when playing against Indo Malaysia, Denmark, Japan, or maybe even Korea.
China is a sure win for the Uber Cup. But if they don't send out their 1st 2 ranked WS, they will have a good chance of winning, but it won't be a sure win. The Chinese depth in WS is not quite the same as the era of Gong Zhichao, Gong Ruina, Ye Zhaoying, Dai Yun, Zhou Mi, etc. If they choose to rest Zhang Ning and Xie Xinfang for the upcoming Uber cup, the lineup vs HK may be: Zhu Lin vs Wang Chen Lu Lan vs Zhou Mi Wang Lin or Wang Yihan vs Yip Pui Yin With this lineup, I think HK has a reasonable chance (around 25%) of winning all 3 WS games I agree with you with the WD though. Even if China rests Gao Ling/Huang Sui and Yang Wei/Zhang Jiewan, the team of Wei Yili/Zhang Zhawen and Zhao Tingting/Yu Yang will likely beat all other competitors. It will be a close one between Wei Yili/Zhang Zhawen vs Lee/Lee of Korea. Even if Wei/Zhang loses, the Chinse WS will still have a good chance of winning at least 2 out of 3 matches in WS against Korea.
If malaysia can go to the world stage,maybe they can reach semi.........They reach quarter in someyear but was beat by China
possible malaysia line-up Mew Choo WONG Pei Xian WONG Li Ya CHEAH Pei Tty WONG/Eei Hui CHIN Swee Ling QUAY/Pek Siah LIM or Hui Lin NG/Liu Ying GOH notes:if QUAY/LIM can get back pair together,unfortunately their will be the 2nd doubles best choice