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How many gold medals will China win in Rio?

Discussion in 'Olympics 2016 - RIO' started by kwun, Nov 26, 2015.

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How many gold medals will China win in Rio

  1. 5 Gold Medals

    2.9%
  2. 4 Gold Medals

    8.8%
  3. 3 Gold Medals

    35.3%
  4. 2 Gold Medals

    33.8%
  5. 1 Gold Medals

    10.3%
  6. 0 Gold Medals

    8.8%
  1. kwun

    kwun Administrator

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    Kicking off the new 2016 forums with a poll.

    China made history in the 2012 Olympics in London, bagging all 5 gold medals from Lin Dan, Li Xuerui, Cai Yun / Fu Haifeng, Tian Qing / Zhao Yunlei, Zhang Nan / Zhao Yunlei.

    4 years is a long time and a lot has changed. Lin Dan isn't the player he used to be, Chen Long is struggling to take his place, and Lee Chong Wei doesn't seem to be slowing down.

    WS players are plague by injuries and form. But most importantly the rest of the world has grown stronger and stronger.

    MD has declined back to the old days with just occasional flahes instead of continued strength like we saw from Cai/Fu.

    WD is still strong but now seeing new contenders like the world number pair of Matsutomo/Takahashi.

    XD is anchored by defending champion Zhang Nan / Zhao Yunlei who has a good chance of retaining the title. But as always, nothing is a certainty in the Olympics.

    So how many gold medals will China win this time in Rio?
     
  2. Espírito Santo

    Espírito Santo Regular Member

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    My guess, it will be 3 Golds from MS, WD and XD :D.
     
  3. latecomer

    latecomer Regular Member

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    A bold guess, 5 golds.
     
  4. Rob3rt

    Rob3rt Regular Member

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    Agreed. I think they will probably win MS, XD and WD.
     
  5. Rob3rt

    Rob3rt Regular Member

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    Who's gonna win WS and MD in your opinion?
     
  6. latecomer

    latecomer Regular Member

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    LXR and a to be determined MD team?
     
  7. renbo

    renbo Regular Member

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    2 golds, WD and XD. MS is the tricky one, 50-50.
     
  8. press100

    press100 Regular Member

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    China will win gold from MS, WD & MX...
     
  9. Espírito Santo

    Espírito Santo Regular Member

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    For WS, I put on my bet on Carolina Marin to win, go, go, go Spain!!!

    Meanwhile for MD, realistically either Korean or Indonesia will be crown as the Olympic Champion.
     
  10. Diamondx1

    Diamondx1 Regular Member

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    What do you mean by Chen Long is struggling to take Lin Dan's place? Chen Long has been pretty dominate this year and last year as well.
     
  11. Fan123

    Fan123 Regular Member

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    Only MD WD and XD.
     
  12. opruh

    opruh Regular Member

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    MS = Lin Dan
    WS = LXR (but I have a feeling that WSX will win it)
    MD = Not China/Korea
    WD = Chinese pair
    XD = ZN/ZYL
     
  13. nilesh123

    nilesh123 Regular Member

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    Hmm MD u sure?
    WD and XD are certain unless ZYL has an upset stomach :D
    MS too is atleast 80% sure and I think LXR can bounce up too
     
  14. alien9113

    alien9113 Regular Member

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    XD and WD are guaranteed. For the other categories, the performances are still shaky. It will depend on how the players themselves handle the pressure.

    If Li Xuerui is going, chances are, she could crumble under pressure. The other WS ladies performances are not stable enough. For MS, Lin Dan doesn't appear to do well at the moment. Chen Long is having some trouble with Lee Chong Wei. For MD, nothing needs to be said. China's MD has never been strong.
     
  15. renbo

    renbo Regular Member

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    The catastrophic situation would be for LD and CL to meet each other in the semis, then LCW in the final. Very difficult to avoid, as LD will find it hard to climb to n.2 spot in the rankings.
     
  16. Devendra

    Devendra Regular Member

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    But don't they have nationality separation in the Olympics?
     
  17. renbo

    renbo Regular Member

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    We have discussed it lightly previously and we are not sure. If they split nations and takes the ranking into accounts, it becomes fussy. Personally, I don't think they split nations, but I might be wrong.
     
  18. latecomer

    latecomer Regular Member

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    LD will be the number 4 seed if this is the case.
     
  19. phihag

    phihag Regular Member

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    I would be very surprised if BWF does change the Olympic Games Regulations this late. They currently state:

    So LD meeting CL in the semis or even before (if LD drops below 4) is certainly possible. Note that #3 and #4 have absolutely identical seeding, so it's never beneficial to lose intentionally.
     
    #19 phihag, Dec 2, 2015
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2015
  20. renbo

    renbo Regular Member

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    That's what I thought, even more so if there is a round robin (I had forgotten about that). Thanks for the explanation.
     

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