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  1. #1
    Regular Member AlanY's Avatar
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    Default Our polling records

    Our polling records for the last 3 majors;

    World Championships 2010
    Lin Dan
    Wang Xin
    Jung Jae Sung & Lee Yong Dae
    Du Jing & Yu Yang
    Nova Widianto & Liliyana Natsir

    World Championships 2009
    Lin Dan
    Wang Yihan
    Jung Jae Sung & Lee Yong Dae
    Du Jing & Yu Yang
    Zheng Bo & Ma Jin

    Olympics BEIJING 2008
    Lee Chong Wei
    Xie Xingfang
    Jung Jae Sung / Lee Yong Dae
    Yang Wei / Zhang Jiewen
    Nova Widianto / Liliyana Natsir

    2 out of 15 times that we got them right, not much to write home about really.

    This time round, so far we have
    Lee Chong Wei
    Wang Yihan, and
    Tantowi Ahmad & Liliyana Natsir

    Based on our past records, statistically to get all 3 right are close to zero chance.
    To get none of them right? Probably.
    Last edited by AlanY; 07-26-2011 at 07:44 AM.

  2. #2
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    interesting info, AlanY.

    i think one of the issue is that most people vote based on their hearts and not based on reality.

  3. #3
    Regular Member chris-ccc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AlanY View Post
    This time round, so far we have
    Lee Chong Wei
    Wang Yihan, and
    Tantowi Ahmad & Liliyana Natsir

    Based on our past records, statistically to get all 3 right are close to zero chance.
    To get none of them right? Probably.
    .
    If assuming that each of the players/pairs to have 10% chance of winning the titles, then the chance of getting all 3 right should be 1 in 1000.

    But the fun of guessing who will win is immeasurable.
    .

  4. #4
    Regular Member ctjcad's Avatar
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    All i know is, BC has made these "Who will win XX event" polls since 2004 OG. I believe there are more than 25 individual event polls total and last time i checked, the percentage of the polls being correct was less than 20%..

  5. #5
    Regular Member AlanY's Avatar
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    congratulations to us all, we actually got 2 predictions right this year in WD and MD.
    i seriously suggest that next time round we should have 2 sets of polls,
    one for the players you like to win and one for the players you think will win.
    then, our polling record may improve.

  6. #6
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AlanY View Post
    congratulations to us all, we actually got 2 predictions right this year in WD and MD.
    i seriously suggest that next time round we should have 2 sets of polls,
    one for the players you like to win and one for the players you think will win.
    then, our polling record may improve.
    haha. that very true. and that reminds me, i need to turn the like system back on so i can like your post.

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by kwun View Post
    haha. that very true. and that reminds me, i need to turn the like system back on so i can like your post.
    yep bc server got so crazy it took like ages to load during the peak of the match.

    I personally predicted 3/5 correctly going for Lin Wang Y and Wang/Yu. shouldn't have picked Jiaming/Tian, I would have had 4/5 if I stuck with Zhang/Zhao

  8. #8
    Regular Member chris-ccc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LD rules! View Post
    yep bc server got so crazy it took like ages to load during the peak of the match.

    I personally predicted 3/5 correctly going for Lin Wang Y and Wang/Yu. shouldn't have picked Jiaming/Tian, I would have had 4/5 if I stuck with Zhang/Zhao
    .
    Me too.

    With my slow internet connection, I found myself with difficulty loading BC at the peak of the matches played at the FINALS.
    .

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by AlanY View Post
    congratulations to us all, we actually got 2 predictions right this year in WD and MD.
    i seriously suggest that next time round we should have 2 sets of polls,
    one for the players you like to win and one for the players you think will win.
    then, our polling record may improve.
    the players you think will win would end up with the players you are afraid to win. People never think.

    they can only pick the one they love when they are pompous and

    pick the one they are scared of when they are in panic

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