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07-28-2011, 06:37 AM #1
What is the chance for Team China?
So, what is the chance for Team China to have a clean sweep of all 5 golds, again?
Itís not going to be easy, to put it mildly.
My take is;1) MS 60/40,
2) WS 80/20,
3) MD 50/50,
4) WD 95/5, and
5) XD 60/40.
The overall chance for 5 golds is just under 14%.
As for 4 golds is between 15 to 30%, and
3 golds is between 18 to 45%.
So, what do you think?
07-28-2011, 12:24 PM #2
07-28-2011, 12:42 PM #3
IMO the real threat to team China's clean sweep, is in MD. there are about 7-8 pairs who have the potential to win the title. Cai/Fu are of course one of these pairs (as are Chai Biao/Guo Zhengdong) but there are many other pairs who could take the title.
07-28-2011, 01:41 PM #4
07-28-2011, 01:49 PM #5
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07-28-2011, 04:33 PM #6
07-28-2011, 08:30 PM #7
For now the sure win for China teams is from WD. Yu Yang/ Wang Xiaoli are too strong for others (including their compatriot Zhang Yunlei/Tian Qing).
07-28-2011, 11:09 PM #8
08-01-2011, 01:28 PM #9
A decade of Yellow
I just came upon this article; thought I would share it...
The Week, July 31 2011
Many believe Chinese can be defeated on court
By Neeru Bhatia/Hyderabad
Full article: http://www.the-week.com/cgi-bin/MMOn...DITORIAL&BV_ID=@@@
It is difficult to miss the crowdís envy and awe, when the 26-member Chinese team in yellow jerseys walks in to train. Most of the players are top seeds in some category or the other. The buzz is heightened because of the presence of Lin Dan, Olympic gold medallist and twice World Champion. In the last decade, China has completely dominated world badminton.
...Bo said he wanted to give his young players the experience of playing in top events such as this, especially as part of preparation for the 2012 Olympics in London. But his hardcore professionalism was seen when he answered the question on who will win, Dan or Wei? He said: ďIf Lin Dan does not play to his full potential and up to expectations, then probably Wei will win.Ē
08-01-2011, 02:05 PM #10
If Lin Dan does not play to his full potential and up to expectations......
Last edited by chris-ccc; 08-01-2011 at 02:08 PM.
08-01-2011, 02:33 PM #11
08-01-2011, 02:55 PM #12
He will spank the opposition to instil fear and broadcast to everyone who is king of courts come OG2012. He sure can whip his body into condition literally in 2 weeks/2 months depending which tourney he is going to enter...
He can literally press the button and find another extra gear at will...um, well motivation is key of course no doubt.
08-01-2011, 07:13 PM #13
08-02-2011, 06:53 AM #14
08-05-2011, 11:43 AM #15
As the date is getting closer letís reassess Team Chinaís chance for 5 Golds again.
Over the years for China to pick up 3 titles in a tournament is a norm, 4 titles is good and a clean sweeps obviously an excellent one. This is the year before the Olympics that results/ranking points are getting more meaningful to everyone. Since the beginning of this year Team China was in 5 tournaments and the numbers of titles are 4,4,3,4, and 4. An improvement of the ďnorm OKĒ tournament of 3.
So, which of the 5 is the likely weakest link?
WS and WD are as good as given, they are in the bag.
MS includes 4 from the top 10 with the reigning World Champion and Olympics Champion, what a team. The two youngsters are very good but more experience needed. As for the World Champion, if he is injures free he is in as good chance as anyone. If the Olympics Champion plays to his 90-95% capacity the rest of the world might as well stay home and donít bother, itís in the bag.
MD used to be the weakest link of the team but not anymore with the resurgent of form for the World Champion and the ever improving second pair. From the last 5 tournaments they had won 3 titles and 1 Runnerís Up between them. The main threat again will be from the Korean, as always.
XD, again with 3 top pairs seeded. All 3 pairs are quite young but with experience in winning, particular big match. After all, they have 13 SuperSeries titles between them. The XD Gold should be quite a save bet.
So, the clean sweep is a real possibility and China Jia You.
08-05-2011, 12:36 PM #16
Looking at the draw and strictly from a predicting point of view and not what I would like to see happen...with MK/HS out, FHF/CY looks to meet LYD/JSJ at SF, if FHF/CY wins, MD gold to CHN....WS/WD done deal, bet on all CHN final. LCW has a tough path, odds is not good unless LCW plays his best form at every round, while LD has a better draw, I say CHN win MS....XD, LN/AT has to go through 2 CHN pairs, my bet goes to CHN. The stumbling block is MD SF and will LCW go to final and what playing shape will he be in? Unlike SEA, CHN players play well in London, a sweep is probable. I would not bet on it nor bet against it.
08-05-2011, 12:40 PM #17
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