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  1. #35
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    My %'s!

    MS - 55%
    WS - 70%
    MD - 30%
    WD - 98%
    XD - 20%

    All of China winning (irrepective of player/s)

  2. #36
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglehelang View Post
    Btw AlanY, the latest OG pts calculations from all disciplines, it's not up yet right? Interested to look at the MD & WD
    Bwf publishes the list every Thursday, have to wait for a few more days

  3. #37
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    Whatever!! I'm still rooting for Saina!!! Logic and rationality be damned! I know its almost impossible for her to take an OG Gold but hey what the heck! Go Saina!!!!

  4. #38
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    Quote Originally Posted by uselessmail View Post
    Whatever!! I'm still rooting for Saina!!! Logic and rationality be damned! I know its almost impossible for her to take an OG Gold but hey what the heck! Go Saina!!!!
    good for you, that's the point.
    Otherwise we might as well just give away the titles to the no 1 rank/seed and done with the playing bit

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  6. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by uselessmail View Post
    Whatever!! I'm still rooting for Saina!!! Logic and rationality be damned! I know its almost impossible for her to take an OG Gold but hey what the heck! Go Saina!!!!
    Impossible is Nothing.......or at least thats what some brand says...

  7. #40
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    I can say there's a chance China might not even win a single gold medal in London....if they are not careful and too focused on certain players..That's the biggest flaw in the Chinese system; they dont cover all the opponents they compete against; only focus on the selected few whom they target as their main threats...That's why China among the powerhouse is most susceptible to upsets...

    Chen Long maybe in for another upset if he is too obsessed with beating Lee Chong Wei. Anything can happen in the doubles category including WD, never underestimate the Japanese and Korean pairs they could do some damage;

    WS if they are not cautious, they could potentially let the title slip away....

  8. #41
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    ok, here's my thoughts:

    MS: for me Lin Dan is the top favourite. of course, lot of people say it's almost 50:50 against LCW, but the last years show us: if LD takes it serious, he wins. anything. everywhere. i would say 80% LD, 20% LCW, no other players can make it! (not speaking of injuries and whatsoever...)

    MD: anything can happen here. cai/fu may win, they may not. i would rate them a bit better than most other pairs, but edges are really really small in MD. maybe 25-30% for cai/fu (no other chinese pair in sight...).

    WS: wang, wang or wang. 100%.

    WD: 99,999%

    XD: for me Zhang/Zhao are favourite, xu/ma might make it, too. i would say 80% for one of these two pairs, 15% for fischer/pedersen, 5% rest...;-)

    so i think a lot will depend on MD and on XD to some extend.

  9. #42
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    for WS and WD, it's difficult to quantify China's chance of winning.

    China can enter three WS (from the best four) and China can only enter two WD. Based from those two facts, China's WS team have a better chance than the WD team of winning the gold medal. But Yu/Wang's record is amazing. Zhao/Tian's record is quite amazing too (if Zhao doesn't need to play in XD).

    For XD, Zhang/Zhao have two major problems. Problem No. 1: Zhao needs to play WD. Problem No. 2: Zhang is mentally/physically not strong enough; he doesn't do too well on European soil (especially against European players).

    For MD, it's a coin toss between Fu/Cai and JJS/LYD. My guess is we won't know who will win until the very last second.

    For MS, LinDan will win. LCW can't stop him (even if you disregard his shoulder injury).

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    think they are capable to do so la..with the intense training abd everything they are good

  11. #44
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    Thumbs down

    yes they can

    MS : 55% ( LD 40%, CL 10%, CJ 5%), - LCW 30% ,others 15%
    WS : 100 %
    MD : 35 % (30 % CY/FHF, 5 % GZD/CB) LYD/JJS 30%, CM/MB 25 %, others 20%
    WD : 100 %
    XD : 40 % ( ZN/ZYL 25 %, XC/MJ 15 %), CP/JP 20 %, LN/TA 15 %, others 25 %

    another question, will they clean sweep MS n WS medal ?
    Last edited by okiazr; 04-08-2012 at 12:29 PM.

  12. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by okiazr View Post
    yes they can

    MS : 55% ( LD 40%, CL 10%, CJ 5%), - LCW 30% ,others 15%
    WS : 100 %
    MD : 35 % (30 % CY/FHF, 5 % GZD/CB) LYD/JJS 30%, CM/MB 25 %, others 20%
    WD : 100 %
    XD : 40 % ( ZN/ZYL 25 %, XC/MJ 15 %), CP/JP 20 %, LN/TA 15 %, others 25 %

    another question, will they clean sweep MS n WS medal ?
    If Wang Yihan/Wang Xin makes it to the final, then it's 100 percent for WS.

    I think XD goes to Towi/Natsir...have a feeling all two pairs from CHN are gonna choke badly. Their defeat to random players like Adcock/Bankier and Laybourn/Juhl are reducing my faith in XD.

    Just my 2cents...INA to clinch this gold in XD

  13. #46
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    for XD, it's impossible to predict. Zhang/Zhao has yet to win against Fischer/Pedersen on European soil. Also, LYD seems to do very well in XD if he doesn't has to play MD. But i think for LYD, MD is more important than XD.

  14. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by Miqilin7 View Post
    If Wang Yihan/Wang Xin makes it to the final, then it's 100 percent for WS.

    I think XD goes to Towi/Natsir...have a feeling all two pairs from CHN are gonna choke badly. Their defeat to random players like Adcock/Bankier and Laybourn/Juhl are reducing my faith in XD.

    Just my 2cents...INA to clinch this gold in XD
    Think you forgot something...ZN/ZYL and XC/MJ did not win AE12, so they avoid the jinx and so OLY12 gold is looking good and now, you say they gonna choke As for WYH-WX, if both go to final, much as I like WX to win, I bet on WYH to take the gold.

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    Quote Originally Posted by OneToughBirdie View Post
    Think you forgot something...ZN/ZYL and XC/MJ did not win AE12, so they avoid the jinx and so OLY12 gold is looking good and now, you say they gonna choke As for WYH-WX, if both go to final, much as I like WX to win, I bet on WYH to take the gold.
    Regardless of the jinx, the Chinese pairs XD dont look solid enough to win the big titles..after looking at their recent defeats, i definitely wont place my bet on them to win unless i want a higher return :P.

    The only XD pair that has rose to the occasion to win and did it twice was Zhang Jun/Gao Ling..that combination is not as successful as Kim Dong Moon/Ra Kyung Min but they do know when to peak at the right time...

    After their retirement, i have yet to see one pair shine...maybe because of ridiculous players like Zheng Bo and He Hanbin.

    I don know what will happen. Zhang/Zhao might prove me wrong again as they won the World title in Wembley. I wont put so much faith in Xu Chen...he is all power but no brainer...doesn't take a maestro in doubles to subdue him. Feel sorry for Majin who has to partner him lmao.

  16. #49
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    Quote Originally Posted by jamesd20 View Post
    My %'s!

    MS - 55%
    WS - 70%
    MD - 30%
    WD - 98%
    XD - 20%

    All of China winning (irrepective of player/s)
    I agree with jamesd20. Only the womens team have a high chance of winning. The Koreans and Taipei teams prob score the mixed doubles and mens...

  17. #50
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    there is a first time for everything. maybe sweep is this time. then ioc will restrict players to 2 max from every country just like for table tennis.

  18. #51
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    I will say another maximum 3 gold for China...with one guaranteed from WD and the other two could be any two of the four other categories..

    Chinese XD and MD (only rely on Fu/Cai) have 50/50 chance of winning....and WS i am still skeptical about their ability to handle the pressure....so a clean sweep is a long shot...

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