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10-05-2011, 03:38 PM #35
I just counted the numbers of meets from tournamentsofware, looking at SS, GPG and major events like WC. The WO rate is quite low.. But there are a few that seems "fishy" which I think is LD avoiding a meet with LCW, most likely due to tactical reasons of not wanting to allow him to "spar" too much (LD and LCW already have a huge number of meets (24) ).
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10-05-2011, 03:39 PM #36
Then you should compare the rates of WO to China - rates of WO to other country for China vs the rates of WO to country A - rates of WO to other country (not A) for Country A provided you have large enough sample size .
It's not good to focus on just one country. You need do comparison. If the difference of rates are significantly large, you can draw a reasonable conclusion.
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10-05-2011, 03:47 PM #37
Not really.. I think most WOs. for example from Lin Dan, have been advantageous for the players from other coutries, giving them an easier opponent, and bigger chance of clinching the title. When it comes down to "saving" players for "fitness", I do not really beleive that to play a big part, as I have seldom seen a chineese national team member loose a match due to fitness.
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10-05-2011, 11:38 PM #38
LCW has reached the level where he does not need more opportunities to spar with LD to improve. Rather, LD tries to avoid meeting LCW because every time LCW beats LD, LCW s confidence over him will grow. That is the advantage LD fears of giving to LCW. PG knows that very well. When LCW goes into a match with confidence, he gets into an unbeatable zone. From now onwards, LD will be prepared to play LCW only when LYB can arrange for a sufficiently vocal CHN crowd to back him up. That s why CHN s eager to host the SS Finals and TC next year.
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10-06-2011, 12:02 AM #39
Agree, CHN s advantage has always been their fitness and stamina, that s why the best time to beat them is in the early stages when the stamina factor is less significant as CHN has at least an 80% chance of winning when in finals.I must say your point of LD s WO benefactor effect by offering a lesser opponent to help his real opponent win the title is refreshing. However, this did not happen in JO. It had the opposite effect. (You know why I was so disappointed with LD s WO in MO11? I would have like to see if TH could have taken out either LCW or LD after they had exhausted each other in the SF.) Try not to shoot yourself in the toe. Up the beer or down it? Or how about some Chinese tea.
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10-06-2011, 05:06 AM #40
Good find limsy!!
How about the rate of China fixing/throwaway matches pre LYB era? It should be a good way to tell since the Chinese were already as dominant during those genuine matches days. It should indicates whether its about the frequency of CHN vs CHN matches that resulted in the high percentage of your findings or otherwise.
I remember the legendary Yang Yang and ZJH matches went to full length at every encounter and both players gives no quarter. It was the same story to those popular Indonesian players as well.
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10-06-2011, 05:21 AM #41
Walkover to give ranking points is a given this year. Before that, I'm not so sure but sometimes it does help to boost the younger player's confidence or give them more experience.
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10-06-2011, 06:11 AM #42
Walkovers to give 'aided' ranking points
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10-06-2011, 10:35 AM #43
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10-06-2011, 10:40 AM #44
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10-06-2011, 11:35 AM #45
Well, LCW has made tremendous progress. WC is supposed to be a major and he has never gone past QF. This time he reached the final and almost won it. LCW s a 'slow winner'. He progresses in steps to clinch titles. See his pattern of progress in AE. QF?, then SF, then Final, then victor, then unquestionable victor. He plods along because he gets no assistance but he finally reaches his destination, sooner or later.
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flite liked this post
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10-06-2011, 11:40 AM #46
He will for sure.. He may or may not clinch the OG next year.. But if he don't, he will have the opportunity to collect those big-medals after LD retires.. The only danger would be a fast improving CL, WZM or Victor Axelsen. But most likely he have all the time to collect his missing trophies after LD has put his racket on the shelf.
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10-06-2011, 12:53 PM #47
since i was in my last month of last semester in my college
so i will create another list as soon as i could
amount of matches between china ms/ws against other country and the amount of walkover
amount of matches between china ws/ws against own country and the amount of walkover
if i free,will add on double department
but i feel that the % will be ugly for china
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10-06-2011, 01:08 PM #48
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10-06-2011, 01:33 PM #49
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10-06-2011, 02:52 PM #50
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10-06-2011, 03:01 PM #51
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