2012 London Olympics Mens Singles Gold Medal winning odds

**chris-ccc** · 05-07-2012, 03:52 PM

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Today, Tuesday 08-May-2012 (Melbourne Time), I have been given the betting odds for the Mens Singles Gold medal winner of the coming 2012 London Olympic Games.

Here are the odds given;

(1) Lin Dan 1.62
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.40
(3) Chen Long 8.00
(4) Peter Gade 25.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 25.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 25.00
(7) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(8) Boonsak Ponsana 41.00
(9) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(10) Kenichi Tago 71.00

What do our BCers think?

Are these odds realistic?

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**LD rules!** · 05-07-2012, 04:45 PM

Where's Chen Jin?

Might bet on Lin Dan

**chris-ccc** · 05-07-2012, 04:53 PM

Originally Posted by LD rules!

Where's Chen Jin?

Might bet on Lin Dan

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There is no mention of Chen Jin.

I would guess that he could be more than 200-to-1. Why? Because Lin Dan and Chen Long are ranked higher than him.
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**chris-ccc** · 05-07-2012, 05:00 PM

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I believe that the odds given tells us that the main chances are;

(1) Lin Dan (CHN)
(2) Lee Chong Wei (MAS)
(3) Chen Long (CHN)
(4) Peter Gade (DEN)
(5) Taufik Hidayat (INA)
(6) Lee Hyun Il (KOR)
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**dlp** · 05-07-2012, 05:19 PM

I think there's only 3 players can win it

**LD rules!** · 05-07-2012, 05:30 PM

Originally Posted by dlp

I think there's only 3 players can win it

I think there's only one. Lin Dan.

***kwun*** · 05-07-2012, 05:31 PM

once the definitive list has been published (ie. all national associations have submitted their final entries), then we will have a prediction thread for each event. before then, some entries are still speculative and non-final (like the lack of CJ here, for example)

**puktus** · 05-08-2012, 06:10 AM

Originally Posted by chris-ccc

(1) Lin Dan 1.62
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.40
(3) Chen Long 8.00
(4) Peter Gade 25.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 25.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 25.00
(7) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(8) Boonsak Ponsana 41.00
(9) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(10) Kenichi Tago 71.00

Those are by bet365. For comparison, skybet odds:

(1) Lin Dan 1.83
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.38
(3) Chen Long 10.00
(4) Peter Gade 21.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 26.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 29.00
(7) Boonsak Ponsana 34.00
(8) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(9) Sung Hwan Park 41.00
(10) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(11) Kenichi Tago 51.00
(12) Rajiv Ouseph 67.00

**chris-ccc** · 05-08-2012, 06:21 AM

Originally Posted by chris-ccc

Today, Tuesday 08-May-2012 (Melbourne Time), I have been given the betting odds for the Mens Singles Gold medal winner of the coming 2012 London Olympic Games.

Here are the odds given;

(1) Lin Dan 1.62
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.40
(3) Chen Long 8.00
(4) Peter Gade 25.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 25.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 25.00
(7) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(8) Boonsak Ponsana 41.00
(9) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(10) Kenichi Tago 71.00

What do our BCers think?

Are these odds realistic?

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From a statistical analysis, the betting odds tells us the chances of winning for the following players;

(1) 38.17% for Lin Dan 1.62
(2) 29.41% for Lee Chong Wei 2.40
(3) 11.11% for Chen Long 8.00
(4) 3.85% for Peter Gade 25.00
(5) 3.85% for Taufik Hidayat 25.00
(6) 3.85% for Lee Hyun Il 25.00
(7) 2.38% for Sho Sasaki 41.00
(8) 2.38% for Boonsak Ponsana 41.00
(9) 1.92% for Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(10) 1.39% for Kenichi Tago 71.00
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**chris-ccc** · 05-08-2012, 06:26 AM

Originally Posted by puktus

Those are by bet365. For comparison, skybet odds:

(1) Lin Dan 1.83
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.38
(3) Chen Long 10.00
(4) Peter Gade 21.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 26.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 29.00
(7) Boonsak Ponsana 34.00
(8) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(9) Sung Hwan Park 41.00
(10) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(11) Kenichi Tago 51.00
(12) Rajiv Ouseph 67.00

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So you know where I've got my odds from.

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**pcll99** · 05-08-2012, 06:28 AM

chris, do u have the odds for WS? thanks.

**LD rules!** · 05-08-2012, 06:32 AM

Originally Posted by puktus

Those are by bet365. For comparison, skybet odds:

(1) Lin Dan 1.83
(2) Lee Chong Wei 2.38
(3) Chen Long 10.00
(4) Peter Gade 21.00
(5) Taufik Hidayat 26.00
(6) Lee Hyun Il 29.00
(7) Boonsak Ponsana 34.00
(8) Sho Sasaki 41.00
(9) Sung Hwan Park 41.00
(10) Jan Jorgensen 51.00
(11) Kenichi Tago 51.00
(12) Rajiv Ouseph 67.00

Park Sung Hwan seems a good bet seeing as he ISN'T playing...

**chris-ccc** · 05-08-2012, 06:34 AM

Originally Posted by pcll99

chris, do u have the odds for WS? thanks.

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No I don't.

But I would expect it could be 'even money' for Wang Yihan.

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**dlp** · 05-08-2012, 04:23 PM

Can you get 1000-1 on any non china WS winner?

**chris-ccc** · 05-08-2012, 08:26 PM

Originally Posted by dlp

Can you get 1000-1 on any non china WS winner?

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This is an interesting question; I haven't found one yet.
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**Miqilin7** · 05-09-2012, 01:37 AM

Originally Posted by dlp

Can you get 1000-1 on any non china WS winner?

I dont want to jinx on any of my favourite Chinese players in WS, so betting on them is not an option.

I certainly for sure do not want Nehwal to win it because she doesn't deserve it.. I will bet her to lose...

**chris-ccc** · 05-09-2012, 06:40 PM

Originally Posted by Miqilin7

I dont want to jinx on any of my favourite Chinese players in WS, so betting on them is not an option.

I certainly for sure do not want Nehwal to win it because she doesn't deserve it.. I will bet her to lose...

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Hahaha... I have never heard of betting for a player to lose. But to do it, I suppose you can ask someone to bet against you that a player will win.

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