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  1. #35
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    less than an hour.

    i even upgraded the software on my wireless router. so hopefully it won't hang under load anymore.

  2. #36
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by edwin View Post
    Not sure if China could avoid their loss in the 2003 Sudirman Cup by fielding different players. At that Kim/Ra was unbeatable, and team China is weak in MD at that time. The scratch pair of Cai Yun/Zhang Wei played well, but Lee/Yoo was still a bit too strong for them.

    The only way China can win the Sudirman Cup in 2003 is for them to win MS, WD, and WS. Lee Hyun Il did pull the upset by beating Chen Hong, but who else could China field at that time MS? Lin Dan and Bao Chunlai were no at their peak yet. Xia Xuanze might be an alternative, but I don't see why it would be better to field Xia instead of Chen at that time.
    the mistake was fielding Chen Hong instead of Xia Xuanze. Xia had a much better record against Lee Hyun Il.

  3. #37
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    I am not surprised China fielded LXL/QZH. Given CY/FHF's current form, there is a strong possibility that they will lose the match. On the other hand, LXL/QZH had been doing well recently, winning the AE and India SS, they should be a force to be reckoned with.

    Much as I dislike to admit it, IMO, it is unlikely that Korea can win the cup. On a player to player comparison, i personally think that China has an edge in all the disciplines except MDs & WS. Unless, Koreans can really up their game.. highly unlikely to upset China.
    Last edited by nizze; 05-26-2013 at 12:17 AM.

  4. #38
    Moderator cobalt's Avatar
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    On paper and with this lineup, I'd give Korea a 40% chance of taking the Cup. They need to win 3 of the first 4 matches, because the last one (WD) is a pipe dream for the Koreans.

    XC/MJ have not played KSH/KHN, and it will all boil down to whether KHN can take the heat from MJ. And then KSH needs to run to the massage table.

    The MS belongs to China. Unless of course, something goes tragically wrong.

    The MD actually has a better than 50% chance of going Korea's way, provided KSH can stop himself from getting cute with his racquet skills.

    If LXR freezes on the final day and/or SJH discovers a whole new aspect to her game and strategy, here is where Korea can take the Cup.

    It's all very slim and dreamy, but it's still a chance it can happen.

    But if it goes to the last match, Korea don't stand a chance.

  5. #39
    Regular Member kelana's Avatar
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    about 23 minutes to go.... are you ready ?

  6. #40
    Moderator cobalt's Avatar
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    You'd better ask Ma Jin and Kim Ha Na that - they're still exchanging mascara and eyeliner and fiddling with their hair....

  7. #41
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    let give it some numbers and punch them into a spreadsheet to calculate the probability for both teams.

    if i use the following probabilities:

    CHN:KOR

    MS: 75:25
    WS: 60:40
    MD: 50:50
    WD: 80:20
    XD: 60:40

    then using my spreadsheet which exhaustively lists out all possible outcomes, the calculation give us:

    China wins: 77.1%
    Korea wins: 22.9%

    you can check my spreadsheet here:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...UE&usp=sharing

  8. #42
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    BC server has a strange sense of humor. 5 mins before SC2013 final, it starts to acting up.

  9. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by dohdoh View Post
    WS to China. As much as I would like a repeat of BYJ's 2010 upset against WYH I don't see SJH beating an in-form LXR. But anything's possible!
    I couldn't see LXR is in her best form, too many mistakes !!!
    I could see SJH in her very best form, especially the semifinal match against Inthanon.
    Their head to head can't be a judgement for this meet (if the game goes to the 4th match), I give 50:50 for LXR vs SJH.

    Quote Originally Posted by Fortune View Post
    the score is not important. it can be 3 - 0, 3 - 1 or even only 3 - 2. the most important is the 5th titles in a row
    it can be 2-3 or 1-3 as well though unlikely to happen.

  10. #44
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    Come to think of it,the SF scare for from INA is a blessing in disguise lest CHN is lulled into complacency and let the undesirable or even shocking result occur later in the SF or F.

    The lineup looks fine though I didn't quite XC/MJ to replace Z/Z. Let the show begin.

  11. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by kwun View Post
    BC server has a strange sense of humor. 5 mins before SC2013 final, it starts to acting up.
    you mean to slow?
    It took me minutes to make one reply. I test my internet connection and there is no problem at all.

  12. #46
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    Oh yes, I think the order of play is what KOR wanted, good for them.

  13. #47
    Regular Member AlanY's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin L View Post
    Oh yes, I think the order of play is what KOR wanted, good for them.
    surely Korea would like to play the MD first, wouldn't they?

  14. #48
    Regular Member AlanY's Avatar
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    MJ looks very relax, bad news for Korea

  15. #49
    Administrator kwun's Avatar
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    never underestimate Korea in team matches.

  16. #50
    Regular Member kelana's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fortune View Post
    the score is not important. it can be 3 - 0, 3 - 1 or even only 3 - 2. the most important is the 5th titles in a row
    I just don't see that KOR squad has the adequate fire power to hinder CHN from securing its 5th consecutive Sudirman Cup holding!

    For KOR team, to be able to perform in this finale is already a good achievement by itself... fate may paint differently if it's drew to face INA or DEN squad on the way here....

  17. #51
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    As for WS, I have a slight preference for WYH to be chosen instead of LXR who is sometimes given to lapses of concentration (brainfade as some would say except that this term is more appropriately used in F1 auto racing, the nature of the sport is different).

    As for Xu Chen, he actually took the blame for that QF loss saying he inexplicably lost focus in the latter part of the 3rd set. Let's see how he redeems himself this time. Here we go, the battle begins.

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