China’s chance to win the Thomas Cup for the 4th time in a row (POLL ADDED!)

Discussion in 'Thomas Cup / Uber Cup 2010' started by AlanY, Apr 19, 2010.

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Who will win the thomas Cup 2010?

Poll closed May 12, 2010.
  1. China

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. Denmark

    0 vote(s)
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  3. Indonesia

    0 vote(s)
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  4. Korea

    0 vote(s)
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  5. Malaysia

    0 vote(s)
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  6. Other (please post to specify)

    0 vote(s)
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  1. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    Assuming the CHN team as;
    MS1 LD
    MS2 CJ
    MS3 BCL
    MS4 CL

    MD1 GZD/XC
    MD2 CY/FYF
    MD3 CB/ZN

    Apart from injuries I don’t expect CHN play CL or CB/ZN except in the earlier round for experience.

    CHN’s MS will have a very good chance to score the 3 points against any teams. To score only 2 points from singles will be a very bad bad day, unlikely in my opinion. MD1 will have less than 50/50 against any top teams' MD1. With CY/FYF at MD2 and their experience in TC the one point is very certain against any MD2.

    Therefore, I will say CHN will get the TC 4th time in a row this year
     
  2. press100

    press100 Regular Member

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    My prediction: China will have 90% chances to take home the Thomas Cup.
     
  3. george@chongwei

    george@chongwei Regular Member

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    Where's 10 more percent?:D
     
  4. undeadshot

    undeadshot Regular Member

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    3% INA
    3% Denmark
    2% Korea
    2% Malaysia :crying:
     
  5. jimbo

    jimbo Regular Member

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    If FHF/CY play for MD2, I wonder which country's MD2 can beat them... ;)
     
  6. ryim_

    ryim_ Regular Member

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    perhaps LP/JR can if they carry their recent form to TC

    but XC/GZD doesn't look too good against any of the other MD1
     
    #6 ryim_, Apr 19, 2010
    Last edited: Apr 19, 2010
  7. jimbo

    jimbo Regular Member

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    Which country's MS2 and MS3 can touch CJ and BCL?

    Msia: 10% chances
    Denmark: 35% chances
    INA: 40% chances
    Korea: N/A :D
     
  8. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    well, CJ is prone to injures. if he cant play CHN may have a young and inexperience at MS3. and if the score is 2-2 then that should be very very interesting.
     
  9. ctjcad

    ctjcad Regular Member

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    ..let's just hope M'sia's TC squad can reach the Final Rd. and try their luck again vs. CHN..if M'sia's TC squad doesn't win, then at least they'll fill up the stadium..:cool:
     
  10. Thom_bad

    Thom_bad Regular Member

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    According to me Denmark is the stronger team against China :)
     
  11. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    for DEN vs CHN,

    I say for the 3 MS, DEN has less than 50/50 to score 1 pt.
    and the 2 MD, 50/50 at best to score 1 pt.
    i.e. no chnace to win.
     
  12. Thom_bad

    Thom_bad Regular Member

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    Let's imagine : 3 singles, 2 mens doubles.

    Ms 1 : Lin Dan vs Peter Gade
    Ms 2 : Chen Jin vs Jan O Jørgensen 50/50
    Ms 3 : Bao Chunlai vs Joachim Persson
    Md 1 : GZD/XC vs Boe/Mogensen
    Md 2 : Fu/Cai vs Paaske/Rasmussen
     
  13. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    ok

    chance after MS1 - 95% CHN 1 DEN 0
    after MD1 - 75% CHN 2 DEN 0
    after MS2 - 60% CHN 3 DEN 0

    if JOJ take MS2 (unlikely due to JOJ's inexperience but possible), then CHN 2 DEN 1

    after MD2 90% CHN 3 DEN 1.

    well, still have 10% chance that 2-2 after MD2, cant see it really.

    so, if its down to MS3, BCL vs JP. on paper obviously BCL has upper hand, very much up as 3 times TC winner. that also depends on when they meet as well. i say DEN has a better chance if they meet before the final. i cant really see JP can pull it off at 2-2 in the final! being the first dan to bring the cup to denmark for the first time. but then again, may be he can.
     
  14. Thom_bad

    Thom_bad Regular Member

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  15. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    there are difference between a SS t'ment that has 12 in a year than the world championship. CHN will put all their efforts to prepare for it. and you're talking about the experience of CHN 7 times winner and DEN 8 times loser (errm, runner up, that sounds better).
     
  16. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    i still consider KOR is the real threat to CHN. if KOR can get the 2 points from the doubles then if that down to BCL against an unknown youngster trained and prepareed by Li Mao. cant wait
     
  17. Jonc108

    Jonc108 Regular Member

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    under normal circumstances (i.e. no injury, with proper fitness):

    LD could beat PG,

    both CJ and BCL could beat JOJ and JP for sure...

    for JP, I think even CL and WZM could beat him normally...

    therefore difficult for DEN to steal a MS pt unless abnormal thing happened....
     
  18. Jonc108

    Jonc108 Regular Member

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    agree... just look at CHN's record in the past few TCs... just breezed over the suspected difficult matches...
     
  19. X Ball

    X Ball Regular Member

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    It is ok - Malaysia will be the quiet contender. :D


    LCW, TBH-KKK, HH.......no, no, no chance.
     
  20. AlanY

    AlanY Regular Member

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    actually TC is really boring, only 2 countries ever won it since the war and that was over 60 yrs ago!
     

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