let give it some numbers and punch them into a spreadsheet to calculate the probability for both teams.
if i use the following probabilities:
CHN:KOR
MS: 75:25
WS: 60:40
MD: 50:50
WD: 80:20
XD: 60:40
then using my spreadsheet which exhaustively lists out all possible outcomes, the calculation give us:
China wins: 77.1%
Korea wins: 22.9%
you can check my spreadsheet here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgnW5s1NJDLldFgtMzFocExiRkFWS1h3YVRZOV9DZUE&usp=sharing
if i use the following probabilities:
CHN:KOR
MS: 75:25
WS: 60:40
MD: 50:50
WD: 80:20
XD: 60:40
then using my spreadsheet which exhaustively lists out all possible outcomes, the calculation give us:
China wins: 77.1%
Korea wins: 22.9%
you can check my spreadsheet here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgnW5s1NJDLldFgtMzFocExiRkFWS1h3YVRZOV9DZUE&usp=sharing